FRONT DIRECTLY INTERNET DEVELOPMENTTEKNOLOGI
FRONT DIRECTLY INTERNET EVELOPMENT
The development of the Internet increasingly increasing, both from the user to the sophistication of the technology offered. Then, like what is the internet in the next ten years? If looking from the back, the site is of course completely different now than in 2000. Even very different from what happened 40 years ago, when it was first created.
In the future, of course, many changes will happen again. Some observers, which summarized PC Advisor, Saturday (9/1/2010) trying to wander like what the internet in the next decade.
1. Many people will use the internet
Until now according to Internet World Stats noted the internet has reached 1.7 billion users, with a world population of 6.7 billion people. The National Science Foundation predicts that the Internet will have nearly five billion users at that time.However, scaling continues to be a problem for future Internet architecture.
2. The Internet will increase in the developing world.
Most of the web growth for 10 years will come from developing countries. According to the Internet World Stats areas with the lowest penetration rates are Africa (6.8 percent), Asia (19.4 percent) and the Middle East (28.3 percent). In contrast, North America has a penetration rate of 74.2 percent.This Internet trend by 2020 will not only reach more remote locations around the world, but will also support more non-ASCII languages and scripts.
3. The Internet will be a network of things, not computers
As the more critical infrastructure will connect to the internet, the web is expected to be a network device rather than a computer network. The Internet has about 575 million host computers that, according to the CIA World Factbook 2009. But the NSF expects billions of sensors on buildings and bridges to be connected to the internet to use such as electricity and security as monitoring. By 2020, it's expected that the number of net-sensors will be folding greater than the number of users.
4. Internet data will reach exabytes, possibly zettabytes.
Researchers have coined the term 'exaflood' to refer to the rapid increase in the amount of data, especially high quality images and videos transferred over the internet. Cisco estimates that global trade will grow 44exabytes per month by 2012 - more than doubling as it is today.
The advancement of information technology that is marked by the rapid development of the Internet has in fact brought up two contrasting things. Like a double-edged sword, on the one hand, the internet plays a significant role for the development of society, both economically and sociologically. On the other hand, the internet has also triggered the rise of pornography, copyright infringement, and other illegal Internet-based transactions. But admittedly, the internet has also encouraged the acceleration of the economy in various parts of the world. This is possible because functionally (through e-government programs , e-procurement, e-commerce , and various applications), the Internet can improve the efficiency and effectiveness of economic and governmental activities.
The Internet is indeed a phenomenal progress of human civilization. With the internet, human activity now can not be limited by space and time. Any form of information submitted via the Internet can be accessed anywhere, anytime, and by anyone. Moreover, internet technology is also free from various bureaucracy or barrier. Inevitably, with such advantages the internet was eventually transformed into a very effective medium in supporting the establishment of a community. In other words, the development of the Internet gradually is no longer just a trend, but has turned into a necessity.
A study from the Pew Internet & American Life Project also estimates that advances in information technology (the Internet) will have a significant impact on future social, political and economic changes. This finding is the result of research on 742 respondents via the Internet, which involves a variety of Internet practitioners, observers, consultants, information center institutions and journalists are already famous. Among them are Yahoo, France Telecom, International Telecommunication Union (ITU), Qualcomm, Harvard University, CNN, Adobe Systems, Forrester Research, and Singapore Internet Research.
Their views on the impact of the internet on social, political and economic life in the year 2020 will vary. However, they generally agree that the technology will develop. Their views on technological progress are the answers to seven scenarios compiled by the Pew Internet & American Life Project on the impact of future Internet developments.
1. Global Network Development
The majority of respondents agree with scenarios stating that low-cost global networks will flourish in 2020 and are easily accessible to most of the world's people. They also agree that the deployment of these technologies opens opportunities for the success of many people in competing globally. But a minority of respondents said they were not convinced that there would be a policy climate supporting the development of the internet. According to them, power centers will safeguard their current interests by spawning policies that control information and communication.
2. Human Control With Technology
Most respondents say that humans will keep control of technology both now and in 2020. Nevertheless, there are concerns about technological advances that will ultimately create machines and processes that transcend human control. Others say they fear that technological advances will be abused.
3. Openness vs. Privacy
There is a growing expectation that people consciously or unconsciously want to be more open about themselves. That way they will get many benefits even though in their privacy will lose much. In view of whether the world will be better with the openness of individuals or institutions, respondents split in two. Recorded 46% of them agree the benefits more by transparency, both from individuals and institutions. In contrast, 49% of them disagree with that view.
4. Counter-to-Technology Parties
Most respondents agree that there are still people who have not been connected to the Internet due to economic limitations; as well as those who counter the technological advances that will emerge in 2020. They will form their own separate communities from modern society, and they will take action in protest against technology. On the other hand, many respondents disagree that more violence arises due to religious, economic or political conflict.
5. Forcing or "Depending" on the Virtual World
Many respondents agree that a country whose people are connected to the Internet will provide more time to form a networked world. This will grow productivity and create many benefits.However, for some, it will create dependence. Apparently, such a view is suitable for some respondents. However, other respondents rated the views as inappropriate.
6. English Becoming an Online Language
Many respondents say they accept the view that someday English becomes the world's language to communicate online .However, English will not replace other languages in the day's activities. On the other hand, most respondents stressed that language diversity is a good thing. They also see the internet will provide opportunities for language development in accordance with the culture. Meanwhile, other respondents say that language will evolve over time. So even with the development of the Internet is supported by the changing times.
7. Development Priorities
In the future, building network capacity and channeling knowledge about technology to help those who are not yet networked are two of their priorities. This was stated by 78% of respondents about their priorities in the development of funds and time in the future in relation to the Internet network.
In the book, the two "global thinkers" collaborate on exposing their visions of the future. In one sentence, the world of the future they think is a world in which people are connected-a world full of challenges and opening up many opportunities for everyone. Schmidt and Cohen combine their knowledge and experience to answer intricate questions about the future. For example, which power is greater in the future-a country or its citizens? Will technology make it easier or harder for terrorists to carry out their actions? When people have connected via the internet, what changes will happen in the war, diplomacy, and revolution in the future? Then, how technology can help build society?Technological developments again bring amazing possibilities. A technology called 'Grid' is claimed 10,000 times faster than existing broadband internet connections. 'Grid' was staying digadang will replace the internet in the future.The so-called 'Grid' is capable of downloading movie videos in just seconds. It is hard to believe, but the 'Grid' is dibesut by CERN, Europe's leading scientific research center which was also very important to develop the World Wide Web.Technology 'Grid' is also claimed to be able to transmit sharp quality images quickly, online games simultaneously with millions of players as well as video phones with cheap fare.
David Britton, professor at Glasgow University who led the research stated, 'Grid' can change people's lives. With its technological powers, future generations will communicate in ways unimaginable by today's generations. For starters, the technological sophistication will be demonstrated shortly in investigating the occurrence of the universe. Early networks existed in countries including Britain, America and Canada, connected to the CERN laboratory. To date, according to CERN, 55,000 servers have been utilized in the development of 'Grid', with the most advanced fiber optic and routing devices. Let's wait if the true 'Grid' will indeed revolutionize the use of the internet.